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Bradley

Bradley

DEF

Conor Bradley · Liverpool · £4.9m · 0.0% owned · 0 pts

📈 Fixtures Improving🚑 Availability Risk🩼 Injury Report: Out

⚠️ Knee injury - Unknown return date

🩼 Injury report: ruled out — Knee injury (injury-report)

xPts GW
0.0
xPts 3
0.1
xPts 5
0.1
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY

Why we rank Bradley here

  • ▸Home vs BHA: we project LIV for 1.21 goals (our difficulty 2.7/5)
  • ▸0% start probability, 0 expected minutes
  • ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
  • ▸Clean sheet probability GW8: 0%
  • ▸Bonus model: 0.02 expected bonus points
  • ▸Injury report: injured — Knee injury
  • ▸Risk 100/100 — Injury report: out (Knee injury)
  • ▸0.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.9m (0.02 xPts/£m)

Points breakdown — GW8 vs BHA

Appearance points0.00
Goal points0.00
Assist points0.00
Clean sheet points0.00
Save points0.00
Defensive contribution0.00
Bonus points0.02
Goals conceded0.00
Cards / other0.00
Predicted FPL points0.0

Card minutes (yellow-minute spread)

Loading card-minute prices…

What is a yellow-minute price?

A card-minute (or "yellow-minute") spread pays out on the clock time of a player's booking, not on whether he is booked. If Bradley is shown a yellow card in the 60th minute, the market settles at 60. A red card settles higher (bookmakers use a fixed larger value), and if he is never carded the market settles at 0 — so the price is always a blend of how likely a booking is and how late it would arrive.

You buy at the higher number if you think he is more likely to be carded than the quote implies, and sell at the lower number if you think he stays clean. Profit or loss is your stake multiplied by the difference between the settled minute and your line, so losses can be far bigger than the stake — most bookmakers void the bet if the player does not appear.

Our number comes from his booking rate per 90, shrunk toward a positional average, adjusted for expected minutes, opponent and referee-style match context, then simulated to get an average settled minute. See the full spread breakdown.

Fixture-by-fixture projection

GWOppxMinsP(goal)P(CS)xPts
8BHA (H)00%0%0.0
9ARS (H)00%0%0.0
10CRY (A)00%0%0.0
11MUN (H)00%0%0.0
12EVE (A)00%0%0.0

Next Gameweek distribution

Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
0
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)100%
Chance of 5+ points0%
Chance of 10+ points0%

Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)

xG90
0.04
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.11
BPS90
15.9
DefCon90
6.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0

Recent matches

GWOppMinGAxGPts
1NEW (A)0000.000
2NFO (H)0000.000
3IPS (A)0000.000
4FUL (H)0000.000
5BOU (A)0000.000
6MCI (H)0000.000
7BRE (A)0000.000

Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers