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Mahmudul Hasan Joy betting stats, splits & projections

Batter

Every figure below is counted from stored ball-by-ball deliveries — no estimates, no averages copied from elsewhere. Splits with fewer balls behind them are marked LOW sample and carry less weight in the model.

Record by format

Formats are never pooled: a twenty-over record tells you nothing about fifty-over scoring, so they are modelled and shown separately.

overallTEST221036233925.944.35.376.4HIGH
overallT2015105.050.00.050.0LOW
overallTEST131406.5—LOW
overallT2025015.0—LOW

Why we like it

Splits where Mahmudul Hasan Joy scores materially faster or lasts materially longer than their own baseline in the same format.

  • Opposition: New Zealand (TEST)HIGH sample

    188 runs off 482 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 39.0 vs 44.3 overall, average 47.0 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Ireland (TEST)HIGH sample

    265 runs off 462 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 57.4 vs 44.3 overall, average 88.3 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Venue: Sylhet International Cricket Stadium (TEST)HIGH sample

    376 runs off 709 balls in 5 TEST matches — strike rate 53.0 vs 44.3 overall, average 47.0 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Bowling type: SPIN (TEST)HIGH sample

    486 runs off 977 balls in 14 TEST matches — strike rate 49.7 vs 44.3 overall, average 44.2 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Pakistan (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    71 runs off 121 balls in 3 TEST matches — strike rate 58.7 vs 44.3 overall, average 11.8 vs 25.9 overall.

Risks

Splits pointing the other way — the conditions and opponents where the record is worse than usual.

  • Venue: Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur (TEST)HIGH sample

    214 runs off 492 balls in 6 TEST matches — strike rate 43.5 vs 44.3 overall, average 17.8 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: West Indies (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    79 runs off 263 balls in 4 TEST matches — strike rate 30.0 vs 44.3 overall, average 9.9 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Opposition: Zimbabwe (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    71 runs off 148 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 48.0 vs 44.3 overall, average 17.8 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Venue: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    78 runs off 228 balls in 1 TEST match — strike rate 34.2 vs 44.3 overall, average 78.0 vs 25.9 overall.

  • Venue: Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua (TEST)MEDIUM sample

    53 runs off 195 balls in 2 TEST matches — strike rate 27.2 vs 44.3 overall, average 13.3 vs 25.9 overall.

Current projections

Bangladesh v West Indies
Test Match
15.9 runs
median 2 · 90th percentile 51 · plays 56% · 64 balls expected

Against each opponent

Head-to-head record by format. Small head-to-head samples move the model very little — read the sample column before leaning on a line here.

South AfricaTEST423257029.040.74.779.3HIGH
New ZealandTEST318848247.039.04.178.8HIGH
IrelandTEST226546288.357.45.667.1HIGH
Sri LankaTEST413029318.644.46.576.8MEDIUM
West IndiesTEST4792639.930.03.083.7MEDIUM
ZimbabweTEST27114817.848.06.875.7MEDIUM
PakistanTEST37112111.858.710.772.7MEDIUM

By venue

Ground-by-ground record. Venue effects are real but slow to prove, so grounds with few balls are shown for transparency rather than used as evidence.

Sylhet International Cricket StadiumTEST537670947.053.06.871.7HIGH
Shere Bangla National Stadium, MirpurTEST621449217.843.54.974.6HIGH
Kingsmead, DurbanTEST114133170.542.65.479.5HIGH
Zahur Ahmed Chowdhury Stadium, ChattogramTEST312426424.847.06.177.3MEDIUM
Bay Oval, Mount MaunganuiTEST17822878.034.23.180.7MEDIUM
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, AntiguaTEST25319513.327.22.183.6MEDIUM
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, Gros Islet, St LuciaTEST1235111.545.17.882.4LOW
Harare Sports ClubTEST1244912.049.04.177.6LOW

By country

Conditions vary more by country than by ground; this is the broader pitch-and-conditions view.

UnknownTEST211012229026.644.25.376.4HIGH
ZimbabweTEST1244912.049.04.177.6LOW

By match phase

Powerplay, middle overs and death. Phase splits drive the simulated scoring rate ball by ball.

old_ballTEST17604142231.842.54.576.4HIGH
new_ballTEST2243291720.647.16.476.3HIGH

Against pace and spin

Record against each bowling type faced, rolled up when a finer category has too few balls.

PACETEST22546134620.240.65.078.3HIGH
SPINTEST1448697744.249.75.673.5HIGH

How these splits are used

The same aggregates feed the ball-by-ball simulation behind every projection: format baselines, phase scoring rates, the bowling types a batter will face and the expected attack. See the current match projections on the cricket betting hub and the model's tested record on the cricket model performance page.