FPL Insights
Nyoni
MIDTrey Nyoni · Liverpool · £5.0m · 0.0% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.4
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
6.4
Rating
16
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW6
Why we rank Nyoni here
- ▸Away vs IPS: we project LIV for 2.35 goals (our difficulty 1.1/5)
- ▸18% start probability, 23 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.15 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 13 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 65/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.28 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW3 at IPS
| Appearance points | 0.81 |
| Goal points | 0.31 |
| Assist points | 0.15 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.08 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IPS (A) | 22.6 | 6% | 8% | 1.4 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 22.6 | 7% | 8% | 1.4 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 22.6 | 5% | 7% | 1.2 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 22.6 | 4% | 5% | 1.2 |
| 7 | BRE (A) | 22.6 | 4% | 6% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.15
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.26
BPS90
15.3
DefCon90
9.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.48
Minutes
13
Starts
0
Form
0.5
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 2 | NFO (H) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers