FPL Insights
Cho
MIDMohamed-Ali Cho · Hull City · £5.0m · 0.0% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.8
xPts 3
2.3
xPts 5
3.9
Rating
2
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW5
Why we rank Cho here
- ▸Home vs AVL: we project HUL for 1.25 goals (our difficulty 3.0/5)
- ▸18% start probability, 19 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 7 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 65/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸3.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.77 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW3 vs AVL
| Appearance points | 0.60 |
| Goal points | 0.11 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | AVL (H) | 18.9 | 2% | 5% | 0.8 |
| 4 | CHE (A) | 18.9 | 1% | 1% | 0.7 |
| 5 | NEW (A) | 18.9 | 2% | 2% | 0.8 |
| 6 | EVE (H) | 18.9 | 2% | 4% | 0.8 |
| 7 | FUL (A) | 18.9 | 2% | 3% | 0.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)94%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
14.8
DefCon90
8.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.31
Minutes
7
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | COV (A) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers