FPL Insights
McAidoo
MIDRyan McAidoo · Man City · £4.5m · 0.0% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.0
xPts 5
4.8
Rating
11
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank McAidoo here
- ▸Home vs COV: we project MCI for 3.18 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸15% start probability, 17 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.13 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 8 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 67/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸4.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.06 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW3 vs COV
| Appearance points | 0.59 |
| Goal points | 0.27 |
| Assist points | 0.14 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.09 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | COV (H) | 17.2 | 5% | 9% | 1.1 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 17.2 | 3% | 5% | 0.8 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 17.2 | 5% | 8% | 1.0 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 17.2 | 2% | 3% | 0.8 |
| 7 | IPS (H) | 17.2 | 5% | 8% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)88%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.13
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
14.2
DefCon90
8.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
8
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers