FPL Insights
Braithwaite
DEFKaden Braithwaite · Man City · £4.0m · 0.0% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.7
xPts 3
2.0
xPts 5
3.1
Rating
4
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Braithwaite here
- ▸Home vs COV: we project MCI for 3.18 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸12% start probability, 11 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 1 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW3: 7%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 69/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸3.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (0.78 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW3 vs COV
| Appearance points | 0.34 |
| Goal points | 0.08 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.26 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | COV (H) | 11.2 | 1% | 7% | 0.7 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 11.2 | 1% | 4% | 0.6 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 11.2 | 1% | 6% | 0.7 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 11.2 | 1% | 2% | 0.5 |
| 7 | IPS (H) | 11.2 | 1% | 6% | 0.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
15.9
DefCon90
7.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
1
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers