Premier League Football Tips
Model-priced tips for every Premier League market
Every tip on this site comes from the same Premier League projection engine. We simulate each match thousands of times using player and team form, fixture difficulty, predicted lineups and the latest prices, then publish only the selections where our fair probability beats the bookmaker's odds.
Pick a category below to jump straight to today's strongest angles — fixed odds, spreads, player markets, team markets or full match previews.
Today's best bets
The highest-rated selections across every market, ranked by Opportunity Score.
Player markets
Shots, shots on target, tackles, fouls and passes priced player by player.
Team & match markets
Goals, corners and cards for teams and matches, de-margined against the model.
Match previews & lineups
This week's fixtures with predicted XIs and the three best uncorrelated bets per game.
Premier League tips FAQs
How are your Premier League tips chosen?
Each fixture is simulated thousands of times from player and team form, predicted lineups and fixture difficulty. Bookmaker prices are de-margined into fair probabilities and compared with the model; only selections with a positive edge, adequate confidence and fresh prices are published.
What is the difference between fixed odds and spread tips?
Fixed-odds tips win or lose a set amount at quoted odds. Spread tips win or lose more depending on how right or wrong the outcome is versus the spread — the same projections power both, but the risk profile is different.
How often are the tips updated?
Prices and projections are re-captured regularly throughout the day. Once a match kicks off it drops out of the boards automatically and returns when new fixtures are priced.
Do you cover leagues other than the Premier League?
No — Exclusive Free Bets models the Premier League exclusively, which keeps every projection focused on the competition we know best.