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Mozambique v Gambia betting tips, prediction & odds

World T20 Qualifier · T20 · Wednesday 21 October at 09:30

Odds updated (UK time) · full refresh every day at 08:00, then hourly

Our cricket model has not produced a projection for this match yet — usually because we do not hold enough ball-by-ball history for these teams in this format. Live prices for this match are on the cricket board.

Team news & expected XI

Official team sheets are used the moment they are published. Until then each XI is the model's own selection read: who this side has picked in this format, where they batted and how many overs they bowled. Form figures are exponentially weighted over the last year, so recent matches count for more.

Mozambique

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1JJ Huoall-rounder97%50.1@ 189.73.1
2J Buleleall-rounder56%20.6@ 92.53.6
3LI Salomoneall-rounder89%10.4@ 108.93.0
4FFZ Nhaduateall-rounder64%42.4@ 178.83.6
5VE Temboall-rounder90%16.1@ 151.32.0
6JM Joaobatter90%8.3@ 99.31.5
7AA Navichaall-rounder97%21.4@ 162.93.1
8CB Roposoall-rounder97%9.0@ 90.53.2
9MF Manjatebatter36%0.4@ 23.41.0
10LF Mavumebatter34%9.0@ 69.20.0
11N Ndzeuteall-rounder67%1.0@ 50.03.3
12MA Algiall-rounder63%5.6@ 115.32.4
13CM Mbebeall-rounder55%7.6@ 179.13.6
Last named squad (Mozambique v Eswatini, 2026-06-07): AA Navicha, CB Roposo, CM Mbebe, FFZ Nhaduate, J Bulele, JJ Huo, JM Joao, LI Salomone, MA Algi, N Ndzeute, VE Tembo

Gambia

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1Muhammed Mangabatter87%14.0@ 84.11.3
2Asim Ashrafall-rounder41%14.0@ 56.03.3
3AM Rajpurohitall-rounder41%8.7@ 76.63.6
4Mustapha Suwarehbatter85%2.2@ 32.51.5
5A Contehall-rounder59%5.8@ 63.63.6
6Andre Jarjuall-rounder88%5.3@ 56.23.0
7Abubacarr Kuyatehall-rounder92%10.8@ 75.63.1
8Ousman Bahbatter86%1.1@ 26.10.0
9Ismaila Tanbaall-rounder97%10.4@ 130.12.0
10F Campbellbatter82%5.6@ 75.00.0
11ML Bojangall-rounder50%6.4@ 100.43.2
12M Jobartehall-rounder97%1.4@ 64.82.9
13P Campbellbatter40%3.8@ 46.90.0
Last named squad (Gambia v Mozambique, 2024-10-24): AM Rajpurohit, Abubacarr Kuyateh, Andre Jarju, Asim Ashraf, B Jaye, F Campbell, Ismaila Tanba, M Jobarteh, Muhammed Manga, Ousman Bah, Shan Siddiqui

Pitch & ground

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1, Abuja, Nigeria

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 1 · T20

Average 1st innings
128.5
Average 2nd innings
109.1
Runs per over
6.54
Boundary balls
1105%
Pace economy
6.77
Spin economy
6.29
Powerplay RPO
6.17
Death RPO
7.65
Chasing wins
4170%
Batting first wins
5830%
Matches counted
24

Weather at the start

Temperature
26.9°C
Rain chance
0%
Cloud cover
44%
Humidity
80%
Wind
0.2 kph
Interruption risk
0%
Swing conditions
62%
Dew risk
62%

Forecast for the ground's coordinates at the scheduled start, taken 21/10/2026, 12:09:56. Swing and dew are read from cloud, humidity and the temperature–dew point gap.

Every live spread market

The full set of Spreadex spread lines currently priced on this match, exactly as captured. Sell below the lower figure, buy above the higher one. Where the simulation covers a market we show its expected makeup beside the price, the side that implies and the edge in points per £1 a point — comparisons, not tips, until the format clears backtesting.

Odds updated (UK time) · captured hourly from the live market

1st n Overs

Gambia Runs in First 63637———

Cricket Runs In Over

Gambia Runs in Over 14.65———

Match Result

Gambia to win match13.320.8———
Mozambique to win match79.386.8———

Supremacy

Mozambique/Gambia2937———

More T20 spread markets across every priced match.

How these projections are built

The model simulates the match ball by ball from historical delivery data: expected line-ups and batting positions, opposition bowling attack, venue scoring and format baselines. Each figure is the output of those simulations, never an estimate written by hand. Track its settled record on the cricket model performance page, and see the live prices on the cricket betting hub.