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Zambia v Lesotho betting tips, prediction & odds

World T20 Qualifier · T20 · Friday 23 October at 09:30

Odds updated (UK time) · full refresh every day at 08:00, then hourly

Our cricket model has not produced a projection for this match yet — usually because we do not hold enough ball-by-ball history for these teams in this format. Live prices for this match are on the cricket board.

Team news & expected XI

Official team sheets are used the moment they are published. Until then each XI is the model's own selection read: who this side has picked in this format, where they batted and how many overs they bowled. Form figures are exponentially weighted over the last year, so recent matches count for more.

Zambia

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1Vasmiakram Chandbatter46%19.9@ 99.00.0
2Muhammad Asimall-rounder72%20.2@ 121.52.9
3Ismail Karaall-rounder46%35.3@ 166.03.8
4Jakir Patelbatter91%15.9@ 112.70.0
5JV Chandall-rounder92%19.6@ 108.92.9
6R Lunguall-rounder46%9.4@ 63.43.8
7Shahnawaz Patelbatter42%10.4@ 101.60.0
8Javid Patelall-rounder97%4.7@ 73.13.5
9Ayaz Dadabhaiall-rounder97%9.3@ 108.63.3
10Zakir Husain Patelall-rounder46%15.6@ 147.92.6
11Soyeb Pendiall-rounder74%4.4@ 114.83.5
12M Yambayambabatter55%1.8@ 54.20.0
13Aslam Beraall-rounder49%0.5@ 22.33.1
Last named squad (Rwanda v Zambia, 2026-08-15): Ayaz Dadabhai, Irfan Saleh, Ismail Kara, JV Chand, Jakir Patel, Javid Patel, Joshep Zulu, M Yambayamba, R Lungu, Vasmiakram Chand, Zakir Husain Patel

Lesotho

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1LM Gabrielall-rounder95%8.6@ 65.92.0
2LJ Leokaokeall-rounder53%35.5@ 133.83.0
3Maaz Khanall-rounder97%27.2@ 176.32.0
4Abraar Khanall-rounder28%3.8@ 45.32.0
5C Tlalibatter97%9.2@ 82.00.0
6Waseem Yaqooball-rounder53%9.6@ 59.63.1
7ME Leoelaall-rounder40%1.6@ 21.73.0
8YYM Jakdaall-rounder55%5.6@ 96.63.0
9L Monanthaneall-rounder70%8.2@ 82.62.5
10TG Thamaeall-rounder53%13.7@ 134.23.2
11TD Chaoanaall-rounder95%4.1@ 77.03.3
12TA Khetsiall-rounder31%2.2@ 67.42.0
13B Mejaroall-rounder62%1.2@ 28.73.4
Last named squad (Lesotho v Eswatini, 2026-06-07): B Mejaro, C Tlali, L Monanthane, L Solomone, LJ Leokaoke, LM Gabriel, Maaz Khan, S Makalo, TD Chaoana, TG Thamae, YYM Jakda

Pitch & ground

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 2, Abuja, Nigeria

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 2 · T20

Average 1st innings
109.8
Average 2nd innings
68.2
Runs per over
6.09
Boundary balls
1083%
Pace economy
6.20
Spin economy
5.91
Powerplay RPO
6.47
Death RPO
6.88
Chasing wins
4000%
Batting first wins
6000%
Matches counted
5

Weather at the start

No forecast is available: a match needs a confirmed ground with coordinates and a start time inside the next two weeks.

What we could not source

  • · No forecast is available for this ground yet.

Every live spread market

The full set of Spreadex spread lines currently priced on this match, exactly as captured. Sell below the lower figure, buy above the higher one. Where the simulation covers a market we show its expected makeup beside the price, the side that implies and the edge in points per £1 a point — comparisons, not tips, until the format clears backtesting.

Odds updated (UK time) · captured hourly from the live market

Match Result

Zambia to win match6169———
Lesotho to win match31.338.7———

More T20 spread markets across every priced match.

How these projections are built

The model simulates the match ball by ball from historical delivery data: expected line-ups and batting positions, opposition bowling attack, venue scoring and format baselines. Each figure is the output of those simulations, never an estimate written by hand. Track its settled record on the cricket model performance page, and see the live prices on the cricket betting hub.