Uganda v Rwanda betting tips, prediction & odds
Women's T20I · T20I · Saturday 7 November at 11:00
Odds updated (UK time) · full refresh every day at 08:00, then hourly
Every number below comes from 9,999 ball-by-ball simulations of this match (model cricket-sim-1.0.0), run on real historical delivery data. Selections are not published as tips until the model passes backtesting.
Team news & expected XI
Official team sheets are used the moment they are published. Until then each XI is the model's own selection read: who this side has picked in this format, where they batted and how many overs they bowled. Form figures are exponentially weighted over the last year, so recent matches count for more.
Uganda
No selection historyNo expected XI: we have no recorded selection history for this side in this format.
Rwanda
No selection historyNo expected XI: we have no recorded selection history for this side in this format.
Pitch & ground
Entebbe Cricket Oval, Entebbe, Uganda
Entebbe Cricket Oval · T20I
- Average 1st innings
- 94.2
- Average 2nd innings
- 77.1
- Runs per over
- 4.84
- Boundary balls
- 630%
- Pace economy
- 5.02
- Spin economy
- 4.66
- Powerplay RPO
- 4.54
- Death RPO
- 5.53
- Chasing wins
- 5360%
- Batting first wins
- 4640%
- Matches counted
- 28
Weather at the start
No forecast is available: a match needs a confirmed ground with coordinates and a start time inside the next two weeks.
What we could not source
- · Uganda: we have no selection history for this side in T20I, so no expected XI is shown.
- · Rwanda: we have no selection history for this side in T20I, so no expected XI is shown.
- · No forecast is available for this ground yet.
Every live spread market
The full set of Spreadex spread lines currently priced on this match, exactly as captured. Sell below the lower figure, buy above the higher one. Where the simulation covers a market we show its expected makeup beside the price, the side that implies and the edge in points per £1 a point — comparisons, not tips, until the format clears backtesting.
Odds updated (UK time) · captured hourly from the live market
Match Result
| Rwanda Women to win match | 36 | 44 | 49.6 | buy | +5.6 |
| Uganda Women to win match | 56 | 64 | 46.8 | sell | +9.2 |
More T20I spread markets across every priced match.
Model vs market
The simulation output next to the live bookmaker price on every market we hold a price for. Fixed-odds edges are expected value per £1 staked; spread edges are the expected points gained per £1 a point. Positive numbers are where the model disagrees with the price — they are comparisons, not published tips.
What does “coin flip” mean?
It is a deliberately simple test: give each team a 50% chance in every decided, two-team match, without looking at players, form or the pitch. It does not mean every real match is evenly matched, or that our model literally tosses a coin.
We score the probability given to the actual winner, not just count correct picks. Lower is better. Always saying 50/50 scores about 0.69. A model saying 80% when that team loses gets a bigger penalty than one saying 55%. “Not better than chance” means its tested winner probabilities have not improved on that simple starting point — they are not a proven betting edge.
This test excludes draws and ties; it is not a three-outcome Test-match benchmark. Beating it still does not prove profit: the offered odds, bookmaker margin and settled returns matter too. A confidence score of 80/100 is not an 80% chance of winning.
| Match winner | Rwanda | 49.6% (2.02) | 2.25 | back | +11.5% EV |
| Match result index | Uganda to win match | 46.8 | 56 – 64 | sell | +9.2 pts |
| Match result index | Rwanda to win match | 49.6 | 36 – 44 | buy | +5.6 pts |
| Match winner | Uganda | 46.8% (2.14) | 1.57 | back | -26.5% EV |
Match winner projection
Uganda to win
- Head-to-head: 0-0 in 1 stored T20I meetingLOW sampleUganda have won 0 of the 1 completed T20I matches we hold between these sides, the most recent on 7 Nov 2026.Uganda full record
- Entebbe Cricket Oval · T20I: 46.4% of matches won batting firstMEDIUM sampleChasing sides have won 53.6% at this ground across 28 recorded matches, which is built into the simulated result.
- Projected runs: 77.7 vs 78.2The simulation gives Uganda a -0.5 run expected margin over Rwanda, from 9,999 simulated innings.
- Price comparisonModel 46.8% against 58.9% implied by 1.57 with the bookmaker margin stripped out — -26.5% per £1 staked.
Rwanda to win
- Head-to-head: 0-0 in 1 stored T20I meetingLOW sampleRwanda have won 0 of the 1 completed T20I matches we hold between these sides, the most recent on 7 Nov 2026.Rwanda full record
- Projected runs: 78.2 vs 77.7The simulation gives Rwanda a +0.5 run expected margin over Uganda, from 9,999 simulated innings.
- Price comparisonModel 49.6% against 41.1% implied by 2.25 with the bookmaker margin stripped out — +11.5% per £1 staked.
- Entebbe Cricket Oval · T20I: 46.4% of matches won batting firstMEDIUM sampleChasing sides have won 53.6% at this ground across 28 recorded matches, which is built into the simulated result.
Team runs projection
Uganda
| 120+ | 1.0% |
| 140+ | 0.0% |
| 160+ | 0.0% |
| 180+ | 0.0% |
| 200+ | 0.0% |
Rwanda
| 120+ | 1.9% |
| 140+ | 0.1% |
| 160+ | 0.0% |
| 180+ | 0.0% |
| 200+ | 0.0% |
Uganda runs
- 77.7 projected vs 94.2 parMEDIUM sampleEntebbe Cricket Oval · T20I averages 94.2 in the first innings over 28 matches; the model has Uganda below that by 16.5 runs.
- Middle of the range 79.0, 10th–90th 52–101Eight innings in ten finish inside that band, with 6.2 wickets lost on average and 20.4 powerplay runs.
Rwanda runs
- 78.2 projected vs 94.2 parMEDIUM sampleEntebbe Cricket Oval · T20I averages 94.2 in the first innings over 28 matches; the model has Rwanda below that by 16.0 runs.
- Middle of the range 79.0, 10th–90th 50–105Eight innings in ten finish inside that band, with 5.0 wickets lost on average and 24.9 powerplay runs.
Player runs projection
Expected runs today, not a career average: each player's chance of batting, expected balls faced and the opposition attack are simulated together.
Rwanda | 16.9 | 14 | 37 | 97.0% | 24 | 36.4% | 2.8% | — | — |
Rwanda | 15.9 | 13 | 36 | 93.0% | 22 | 34.2% | 2.9% | — | — |
Rwanda | 15.2 | 13 | 33 | 97.0% | 25 | 32.9% | 1.1% | — | — |
Uganda | 13.3 | 11 | 29 | 97.0% | 21 | 25.4% | 1.2% | — | — |
Uganda | 12.8 | 9 | 31 | 97.0% | 20 | 25.0% | 1.2% | — | — |
Uganda | 11.3 | 8 | 28 | 97.0% | 19 | 20.4% | 0.7% | — | — |
Uganda | 10.9 | 8 | 26 | 97.0% | 15 | 19.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
Uganda | 9.6 | 7 | 24 | 97.0% | 13 | 16.7% | 0.3% | — | — |
Uganda | 8.8 | 6 | 22 | 97.0% | 14 | 12.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
Rwanda | 8.4 | 5 | 23 | 86.0% | 14 | 14.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
Rwanda | 8.2 | 6 | 21 | 97.0% | 14 | 11.4% | 0.2% | — | — |
Rwanda | 4.4 | 2 | 13 | 97.0% | 10 | 3.5% | 0.0% | — | — |
Rwanda | 4.3 | 0 | 15 | 97.0% | 8 | 5.3% | 0.0% | — | — |
Uganda | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 86.0% | 7 | 1.9% | 0.0% | — | — |
Uganda | 2.3 | 0 | 9 | 48.0% | 10 | 1.5% | 0.0% | — | — |
Uganda | 2.2 | 0 | 8 | 97.0% | 7 | 0.6% | 0.0% | — | — |
Uganda | 2.2 | 0 | 8 | 52.0% | 6 | 1.8% | 0.0% | — | — |
Rwanda | 1.7 | 0 | 6 | 40.0% | 9 | 1.9% | 0.0% | — | — |
Rwanda | 1.4 | 0 | 5 | 84.0% | 6 | 0.4% | 0.0% | — | — |
Uganda | 1.2 | 0 | 4 | 48.0% | 6 | 0.7% | 0.0% | — | — |
Rwanda | 1.1 | 0 | 3 | 37.0% | 7 | 1.1% | 0.0% | — | — |
Rwanda | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 35.0% | 6 | 0.3% | 0.0% | — | — |
G Ishimwe runs
- Expected to face 24 balls at number 2Opportunity drives the projection: 16.9 runs on average, 37 in the top 10% of simulations.
F Utagushimaninde runs
- Expected to face 22 balls at number 1Opportunity drives the projection: 15.9 runs on average, 36 in the top 10% of simulations.
- Thin data (43/100)Not enough recorded balls behind this player in this format for a firm number.
MD Bimenyimana runs
- Expected to face 25 balls at number 3Opportunity drives the projection: 15.2 runs on average, 33 in the top 10% of simulations.
J Mbabazi runs
- Expected to face 21 balls at number 1Opportunity drives the projection: 13.3 runs on average, 29 in the top 10% of simulations.
I Nakisuuyi runs
- Expected to face 20 balls at number 3Opportunity drives the projection: 12.8 runs on average, 31 in the top 10% of simulations.
E Iloku runs
- Expected to face 19 balls at number 2Opportunity drives the projection: 11.3 runs on average, 28 in the top 10% of simulations.
How these projections are built
The model simulates the match ball by ball from historical delivery data: expected line-ups and batting positions, opposition bowling attack, venue scoring and format baselines. Each figure is the output of those simulations, never an estimate written by hand. Track its settled record on the cricket model performance page, and see the live prices on the cricket betting hub.