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Lesotho v Uganda betting tips, prediction & odds

World T20 Qualifier · T20 · Wednesday 21 October at 09:30

Odds updated (UK time) · full refresh every day at 08:00, then hourly

Our cricket model has not produced a projection for this match yet — usually because we do not hold enough ball-by-ball history for these teams in this format. Live prices for this match are on the cricket board.

Team news & expected XI

Official team sheets are used the moment they are published. Until then each XI is the model's own selection read: who this side has picked in this format, where they batted and how many overs they bowled. Form figures are exponentially weighted over the last year, so recent matches count for more.

Lesotho

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1LM Gabrielall-rounder95%8.6@ 65.92.0
2LJ Leokaokeall-rounder53%35.5@ 133.83.0
3Maaz Khanall-rounder97%27.2@ 176.32.0
4Abraar Khanall-rounder28%3.8@ 45.32.0
5C Tlalibatter97%9.2@ 82.00.0
6Waseem Yaqooball-rounder53%9.6@ 59.63.1
7ME Leoelaall-rounder40%1.6@ 21.73.0
8YYM Jakdaall-rounder55%5.6@ 96.63.0
9L Monanthaneall-rounder70%8.2@ 82.62.5
10TG Thamaeall-rounder53%13.7@ 134.23.2
11TD Chaoanaall-rounder95%4.1@ 77.03.3
12TA Khetsiall-rounder31%2.2@ 67.42.0
13B Mejaroall-rounder62%1.2@ 28.73.4
Last named squad (Lesotho v Eswatini, 2026-06-07): B Mejaro, C Tlali, L Monanthane, L Solomone, LJ Leokaoke, LM Gabriel, Maaz Khan, S Makalo, TD Chaoana, TG Thamae, YYM Jakda

Uganda

Expected XI from selection history
OrderPlayerRolePlaysForm runsOvers
1R Lutaayabatter50%9.3@ 129.60.0
2SG Mangelabatter49%24.2@ 116.70.0
3Raghav Dhawanall-rounder88%32.2@ 111.62.0
4R Obuyabatter82%23.1@ 133.50.0
5Riazat Ali Shahall-rounder67%28.0@ 186.91.8
6CN Kakurubatter69%9.5@ 96.30.0
7DM Nakraniall-rounder87%13.4@ 118.53.4
8AR Ramjaniall-rounder87%16.4@ 132.43.8
9C Kyewutaall-rounder70%5.4@ 102.73.3
10J Miyajiall-rounder76%7.0@ 125.13.4
11J Bagumaall-rounder40%1.1@ 52.33.0
12H Ssenyondoall-rounder61%1.8@ 84.73.9
13F Nsubugaall-rounder67%4.7@ 123.93.5
Last named squad (Uganda v Sierra Leone, 2026-09-09): Anas Baig, C Kyewuta, C Musemez, CN Kakuru, J Baguma, J Miyaji, K Waiswa, M Musinguzi, Olipa Gerald, R Obuya, Riazat Ali Shah

Pitch & ground

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 2, Abuja, Nigeria

Nigeria Cricket Federation Oval 2 · T20

Average 1st innings
109.8
Average 2nd innings
68.2
Runs per over
6.09
Boundary balls
1083%
Pace economy
6.20
Spin economy
5.91
Powerplay RPO
6.47
Death RPO
6.88
Chasing wins
4000%
Batting first wins
6000%
Matches counted
5

Weather at the start

No forecast is available: a match needs a confirmed ground with coordinates and a start time inside the next two weeks.

What we could not source

  • · No forecast is available for this ground yet.

Every live spread market

The full set of Spreadex spread lines currently priced on this match, exactly as captured. Sell below the lower figure, buy above the higher one. Where the simulation covers a market we show its expected makeup beside the price, the side that implies and the edge in points per £1 a point — comparisons, not tips, until the format clears backtesting.

Odds updated (UK time) · captured hourly from the live market

1st n Overs

Uganda Runs in First 66265———

Cricket Runs In Over

Uganda Runs in Over 18.18.8———

Fall Of Next Wicket

Fall of 1st Uganda Wicket3035———

Match Result

Uganda to win match96.5100———
Lesotho to win match03.5———

Supremacy

Uganda/Lesotho7177———

More T20 spread markets across every priced match.

How these projections are built

The model simulates the match ball by ball from historical delivery data: expected line-ups and batting positions, opposition bowling attack, venue scoring and format baselines. Each figure is the output of those simulations, never an estimate written by hand. Track its settled record on the cricket model performance page, and see the live prices on the cricket betting hub.